Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?

$37K Vol.Dec 31AI63 trading now
1500+
1%

1%

chance

1%
99%
99%
1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the first Claude Mythos model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard whose official name includes “Mythos” will

  • · Resolver: official source named in the market description.
  • · Deadline: closing date in UTC.
  • · Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.

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Frequently Asked Questions

A Theorem Markets contract on whether “Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?” occurs. Traders buy Yes or No shares; the live price is the crowd’s implied probability.

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