Next Claude Opus released by...?99%chanceOctober 3199%YesNoDecember 3199%YesNo$1.3M Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$2544 trading now
Next GPT Model: Text Arena Debut?99%chance1520+1%YesNo1470+1%YesNo1460+1%YesNo+4 more$508K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$2571 trading now
Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?99%chance1510+99%YesNo1520+1%YesNo1500+99%YesNo+3 more$226K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$2535 trading now
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)81%chance1.8T+81%YesNoNo IPO by December 31, 20272%YesNo0.6–0.9T1%YesNo+4 more$226K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$3179 trading now
Next Grok Model: Text Arena Debut?99%chance1460+1%YesNo1440+99%YesNo1470+1%YesNo+2 more$78K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$2530 trading now
Next xAI Model: Arena Debut?1%chance1480+1%YesNo1440+1%YesNo1460+1%YesNo$65K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$250049 trading now
Which company has the best AI model end of September?82%chanceAnthropic82%YesNoGoogle2%YesNoNvidia1%YesNo+5 more$52K Vol.Sep 30 · AIPotential payout$25→$3133 trading now
Claude Mythos: Text Arena Debut?99%chance1500+1%YesNo1490+99%YesNo1480+99%YesNo+1 more$37K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$2563 trading now
Best Chinese AI Company end of September?77%chanceAlibaba77%YesNoMoonshot20%YesNoDeepSeek1%YesNo+5 more$31K Vol.Sep 30 · AIPotential payout$25→$3377 trading now
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?7%chanceYes 7¢No 93¢$29K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$35767 trading now
Claude Sonnet 5: Text Arena Debut?1%chance1470+1%YesNo1480+1%YesNo1500+1%YesNo+1 more$25K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$250065 trading now
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?46%chance20-234%YesNo24-271%YesNo16-1946%YesNo+4 more$24K Vol.Dec 31 · AIPotential payout$25→$5582 trading now