Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?

$226K Vol.Dec 31AI35 trading now
1510+
99%

99%

chance

99%
1%
99%
99%
99%
99%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Claude Opus model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any Claude model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled a

  • · Resolver: official source named in the market description.
  • · Deadline: closing date in UTC.
  • · Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.

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A Theorem Markets contract on whether “Next Claude Opus: Text Arena Debut?” occurs. Traders buy Yes or No shares; the live price is the crowd’s implied probability.

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