US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?
$1.66K Vol.Dec 31Culture75 trading now
Yes
1%
1%
chance
1%
99%
The CDC estimates a general fertility rate of 53.3 births per 1,000 women aged 15–44 for Q4 2025 (see: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/natality-dashboard.htm). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the initial reported rate for Q1 2026 exceeds 53.3, according to the CDC's Vital Statistics Rapid Release series. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the CDC does not release general f
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A Theorem Markets contract on whether “US fertility rate up in Q1 2026?” occurs. Traders buy Yes or No shares; the live price is the crowd’s implied probability.