Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?
$650K Vol.Dec 31Geopolitics55 trading now
Zaporizhia
5%
5%
chance
5%
89%
51%
5%
6%
21%
29%
5%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of [the specified city or settlement] () by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Territory will be considered captured if any part of the city or settlement is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- · Resolver: official source named in the market description.
- · Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- · Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
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A Theorem Markets contract on whether “Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?” occurs. Traders buy Yes or No shares; the live price is the crowd’s implied probability.