Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by...?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if OpenAI makes a new frontier model available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For this market to resolve to “Yes”, OpenAI’s new frontier model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffi

• · Resolver: official source named in the market description.
• · Deadline: closing date in UTC.
• · Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.