Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?
$199K Vol.Sep 30Geopolitics29 trading now
Yes
99%
99%
chance
99%
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures any territory of Novyi Donbas, Donetsk Oblast, (48.450718° N, 37.181238° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET). Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de
- · Resolver: official source named in the market description.
- · Deadline: closing date in UTC.
- · Disputed outcomes: handled by moderators within 48 hours.
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A Theorem Markets contract on whether “Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by...?” occurs. Traders buy Yes or No shares; the live price is the crowd’s implied probability.